When it was moved to Jacksonville because of the damage done by hurricane Ida, we announced a refund for all of those earlier bets. Again, that means sharps don’t like the Over, or they would have jumped in by now. My opener of San Francisco -7.5 was bet up to -8 on a combination of sharp and public play. This may end up being a replay of Tampa Bay/Dallas, where the Bucs were bet up to -9 and beyond because of team side and teaser play. You probably know a lot of guys who teased Tampa Bay with San Francisco or the LA Rams.

Cleveland Browns At Kansas City Chiefs 4:25 P M Et

Then, they went out and upgraded at the QB position by trading away Jared Goff for Matthew Stafford. Boasting one of the best defenses in the league with Stafford at the helm of the offense, the Rams will be a Super Bowl contender again this season. The first Sunday Night Football game of the year features a pair of 2020 playoff teams in the Bears and Rams. Los Angeles is favored by 7.5 points, though its 4-12 record in 2020 against the over makes the point total an interesting play here. In that game, Kansas City lost quarterback Patrick Mahomes in the third quarter to a concussion and backup Chad Henne came in to replace him. At that time, the Chiefs were up and Cleveland got within five but Henne ran 13 yards on third-and-14 to set up a fourth-and-1 conversion that sealed the game.

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There is tremendous optimism surrounding the Rams’ offense and new quarterback Matthew Stafford. Combined with the raw truth that Chicago’s defense simply isn’t that good anymore, and you have the two most likely reasons for the shift. We close out the point spread portion of the Week 1 column with a game whose current spread is identical to the opening number. But while the Jaguars remain three-point road favorites against the AFC South rival Texans, developments behind the scenes are worth discussing. A couple of books have taken as much as 81% of bets and 94% of the handle on Jacksonville. Yet, despite these lopsided figures, this number actually ducked down to 2.5 earlier in the week.

I’ve seen a couple people I trust back the Colts here and I am slowly starting to cool off on the Titans. I like the idea of selling high on a team coming off two huge victories. The Colts have been picking up steam and this is a divisional battle.

Predicted Winner

Lastly, I touched on some of the Raiders’ Betting Progressions Craps Betting Methods challenges given their travel and two overtime games. Those seem minor compared to the unsettling news about Raiders head coach Jon Gruden using a racial trope in 2011 to describe NFLPA executive director DeMaurice Smith. The Saints have also been more productive offensively than the current public perception suggests.

However, for Week 1, we can only use prior season numbers for information and not as the true decision maker. Detroit will struggle all year but I think especially in the season opener. You will see a “plus-money” line next to the Bears as underdogs. It will simply have a “+” instead of a “-“ in front of the number.

Losing Andrew Luck hurts, but the Indianapolis Colts still have one of the best all-around rosters in the league. Jacoby Brissett has what it takes to be a top-20 quarterback and should keep the team competitive and respectable. This isn’t going to be 2011 for the Indianapolis Colts by any means. The Chargers, meanwhile, already lost Derwin James and won’t have Melvin Gordon for the start of the season. Cam Newton is expected to play, which makes this something of a difficult decision.

On offense, it appears Kyle Shanahan is going to deploy a two-quarterback system, which could be genius or disastrous. Still, with the weapons this team has, the offense should be just fine. Be sure to head over to our Awesemo Odds page, where have expert NFL betting picks previews as well as the best odds to target.

In 16 games as a home underdog, Tomlin has covered at a 78.6% rate with a +47.2% return on investment . If that trend continues, Goff and company will have plenty of opportunities to keep this close. The Lions’ numbers are much better than their record indicates, and they’ve been just a couple of big plays short of securing a win against some of the top teams in the league.

The fight for the strong NFC North is always a battle worth watching, so we share our predictions, odds and picks for which team will win the division. The NFC West now consists of four playoff-worthy teams, so we take a look at the predictions, odds and picks of which franchise will win this competitive NFL division. All of our NFL picks and predictions are free, and always will be. So you can always rely on WSN for the latest NFL betting advice and insights without ever having to dip into your pocket.